Chris Horodecki vs Vicente Vargas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-7-1Record24-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
Adrenaline MMATeamTeam Ludus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris HorodeckiVicente Vargas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Vargas52%
Chris Horodecki 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Vargas a 52% favorite over Chris Horodecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Horodecki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vicente Vargas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Horodecki finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.