Chris Kelades vs Daniel Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
38.00Reach70"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fit PlusTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1521
If they lose-23→ 1473
If they win+15→ 1522
If they lose-17→ 1490
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris KeladesDaniel Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Lacerda53%
Chris Kelades 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Lacerda a 53% favorite over Chris Kelades in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1507), separated by just 11 points.
Chris Kelades enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Kelades finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Lacerda 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.