Chris Kelades vs Sergio Pettis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record25-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
38.00Reach69"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Fit PlusTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Sergio Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Chris Kelades carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+39→ 1535
If they lose-9→ 1487
If they win+4→ 1756
If they lose-20→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris KeladesSergio Pettis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Pettis92%
Chris Kelades 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Pettis a 92% favorite over Chris Kelades in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Sergio Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1496, a 256-point edge.
Chris Kelades enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Kelades finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Pettis 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.