Chris Leben vs Jake Rosholt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Takedown
What's at stake
Chris Leben is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jake Rosholt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1644
If they lose-15→ 1620
If they win+19→ 1579
If they lose-13→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenJake Rosholt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Leben and Jake Rosholt within a point of even.
Chris Leben holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1560, a 75-point edge.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jake Rosholt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jake Rosholt 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.