Chris Leben vs Jorge Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record20-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-10→ 1625
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenJorge Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Rivera57%
Chris Leben 43%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Rivera a 57% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1635, a 46-point edge.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Rivera 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.