Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Leben vs Mark Munoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Leben
us

Chris Leben

“The Crippler”

22-12-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid
Mark Munoz
us

Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

22-12-0Record14-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris LebenNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
44%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.23
Takedown avg.
3.17
41%
Takedown accuracy
30%
54%
Takedown defense
58%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Chris LebenMark Munoz
165017002012201320142015

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
5 (23%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (23%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Leben and Mark Munoz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1639), separated by just 4 points.

Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.