Chris Leben vs Michael Bisping
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamHB Ultimate
What's at stake
Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-8→ 1627
If they win+8→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenMichael Bisping
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Bisping75%
Chris Leben 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 75% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1635, a 106-point edge.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.