Chris Leben vs Terry Martin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Chris Leben is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Terry Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1646
If they lose-13→ 1622
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenTerry Martin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Leben54%
Terry Martin 46%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Leben a 54% favorite over Terry Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Chris Leben holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1612, a 23-point edge.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Terry Martin 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.