Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Leben vs Terry Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Leben
us

Chris Leben

“The Crippler”

22-12-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid
Terry Martin
us

Terry Martin

“Dangerous”

23-12-0MiddleweightKOP

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

22-12-0Record23-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamIron Academy

What's at stake

Chris Leben is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Terry Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LebenNow 1635
If they win+11→ 1646
If they lose-13→ 1622
Terry MartinNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.23
Takedown avg.
3.10
41%
Takedown accuracy
42%
54%
Takedown defense
92%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris LebenTerry Martin
160016501700201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
5 (23%)
Submission
4 (18%)
5 (23%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Leben and Terry Martin within a point of even.

Chris Leben holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1613, a 22-point edge.

Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Terry Martin 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.