Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Leben vs Wanderlei Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Leben
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Chris Leben

“The Crippler”

22-12-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

22-12-0Record35-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamWand Fight Team

What's at stake

Wanderlei Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LebenNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-8→ 1627
Wanderlei SilvaNow 1751
If they win+8→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
44%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.65
52%
Strike defense
60%
1.23
Takedown avg.
0.32
41%
Takedown accuracy
50%
54%
Takedown defense
63%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Chris LebenWanderlei Silva
1650170017502012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
27 (77%)
5 (23%)
Submission
1 (3%)
5 (23%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Wanderlei Silva61%
Chris Leben 39%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Wanderlei Silva a 61% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Wanderlei Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1635, a 116-point edge.

Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wanderlei Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Wanderlei Silva 80%.

Chris Leben and Wanderlei Silva share 1 common opponent: Brian Stann.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2011
Brian Stann
WinKO/TKO · 2013