Chris Ligouri vs Keith Rockel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Chris Ligouri
Elo1478Average
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record12-4-1
TBDDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Elite
What's at stake
Keith Rockel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Ligouri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+32→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1462
If they win+11→ 1612
If they lose-21→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris LigouriKeith Rockel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Rockel61%
Chris Ligouri 39%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Rockel a 61% favorite over Chris Ligouri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Keith Rockel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1601 to 1478, a 123-point edge.
Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keith Rockel 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.