Chris Lytle vs Jason Gilliam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-18-5Record15-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Wolfpack
What's at stake
Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jason Gilliam carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1712
If they lose-18→ 1688
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-8→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris LytleJason Gilliam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Lytle78%
Jason Gilliam 22%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 78% favorite over Jason Gilliam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1529, a 177-point edge.
Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jason Gilliam 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.