Chris Lytle vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-18-5Record17-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1716
If they lose-14→ 1692
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LytleJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Lytle61%
Josh Koscheck 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 61% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1644, a 62-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.