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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Lytle vs Karo Parisyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

31-18-5Record24-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeam

What's at stake

Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+8→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1690
Karo ParisyanNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-8→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
45%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.70
Takedown avg.
5.27
55%
Takedown accuracy
60%
55%
Takedown defense
60%
2.36
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Chris LytleKaro Parisyan
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

6 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
19 (61%)
Submission
11 (46%)
6 (19%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Lytle62%
Karo Parisyan 38%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 62% favorite over Karo Parisyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1576, a 130-point edge.

Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Karo Parisyan 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.