Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Lytle vs Kyle Bradley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Lytle
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Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

31-18-5Record20-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bradley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+7→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1689
Kyle BradleyNow 1553
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-7→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
1.99
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.65
55%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
40%
2.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris LytleKyle Bradley
155016001650170020092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

6 (19%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
19 (61%)
Submission
7 (35%)
6 (19%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Lytle76%
Kyle Bradley 24%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 76% favorite over Kyle Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1553, a 153-point edge.

Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bradley 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.