Chris Lytle vs Marcus Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-18-5Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marcus Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1716
If they lose-14→ 1692
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-10→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LytleMarcus Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Lytle75%
Marcus Davis 25%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 75% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1655, a 51-point edge.
Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.