Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Lytle vs Paul Taylor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good
Paul Taylor

Paul Taylor

“Relentless”

11-6-1LightweightUFC

1535Average

Tale of the tape

31-18-5Record11-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Supreme

What's at stake

Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+7→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1689
Paul TaylorNow 1535
If they win+23→ 1558
If they lose-9→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.47
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.27
55%
Takedown accuracy
25%
55%
Takedown defense
56%
2.36
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Chris LytlePaul Taylor
15501600165017002009201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

6 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
19 (61%)
Submission
2 (18%)
6 (19%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Lytle79%
Paul Taylor 21%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 79% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1535, a 171-point edge.

Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Paul Taylor 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.