Chris Lytle vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-18-5Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Robbie Lawler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Lytle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1721
If they lose-9→ 1697
If they win+9→ 1797
If they lose-15→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris LytleRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Lawler82%
Chris Lytle 18%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Lawler a 82% favorite over Chris Lytle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Robbie Lawler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1706, a 82-point edge.
Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.