Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Lytle vs Tiki Ghosn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

31-18-5Record10-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tiki Ghosn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+7→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1689
Tiki GhosnNow 1540
If they win+23→ 1563
If they lose-9→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.41
55%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
62%
2.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris LytleTiki Ghosn
150015501600165017002008200920102011

Win method breakdown

6 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
19 (61%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (19%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Lytle78%
Tiki Ghosn 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 78% favorite over Tiki Ghosn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1540, a 166-point edge.

Tiki Ghosn enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Tiki Ghosn 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.