Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Manuel vs Hyuga Miyagawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-2Record7-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris ManuelNow 1498
If they win+16→ 1514
If they lose-16→ 1482
Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris ManuelHyuga Miyagawa
14001450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
5 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyuga Miyagawa72%
Chris Manuel 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyuga Miyagawa a 72% favorite over Chris Manuel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1500), separated by just 2 points.

Chris Manuel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Manuel finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Hyuga Miyagawa 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.