Chris Manuel vs Josh Kwiatkowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-7-2Record11-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAnimo Boxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1514
If they lose-16→ 1482
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris ManuelJosh Kwiatkowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Manuel54%
Josh Kwiatkowski 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Manuel a 54% favorite over Josh Kwiatkowski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Kwiatkowski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1501), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Manuel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Manuel finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Josh Kwiatkowski 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.