Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mecate vs Eduardo Dutra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70" Reach-
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Miura BJJTeamBabuino Gold Team· 1561 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MecateNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Eduardo DutraNow 1653
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Chris MecateEduardo Dutra
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (15%)
Submission
5 (71%)
7 (54%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Mecate and Eduardo Dutra within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Eduardo Dutra enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Dutra 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.