Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mecate vs Jonathan Pearce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70" Reach71"
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Miura BJJTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MecateNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Jonathan PearceNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Chris MecateJonathan Pearce
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
2 (15%)
Submission
2 (14%)
7 (54%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Mecate84%
Jonathan Pearce 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 84% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.