Chris Mecate vs Mark Cherico
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70" ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Miura BJJTeamMark Cherico's Martial Arts & Fitness Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MecateMark Cherico
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mecate79%
Mark Cherico 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 79% favorite over Mark Cherico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Mark Cherico 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.