Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mecate vs Tatsuya Ando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record14-4-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70" ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Miura BJJTeamFreelance· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MecateNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Tatsuya AndoNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris MecateTatsuya Ando
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
2 (15%)
Submission
4 (29%)
7 (54%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Mecate70%
Tatsuya Ando 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 70% favorite over Tatsuya Ando in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tatsuya Ando's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Ando 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.