Chris Mecate vs Tyler Diamond
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70" Reach69"
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Miura BJJTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris MecateTyler Diamond
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyler Diamond51%
Chris Mecate 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyler Diamond a 51% favorite over Chris Mecate in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Mecate's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1663), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Diamond 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.