Chris Mierzwiak vs Iwan Tagner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73.2"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamUFD Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MierzwiakIwan Tagner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwan Tagner60%
Chris Mierzwiak 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwan Tagner a 60% favorite over Chris Mierzwiak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Mierzwiak enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chris Mierzwiak finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.