Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mixan vs Chuck O'Neil

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Mixan
us

Chris Mixan

“Cossack”

7-3-0WelterweightPFL

1599Solid
Chuck O'Neil
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Chuck O'Neil

“Cold Steel”

17-9-0MiddleweightCES

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record17-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamMass BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MixanNow 1599
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Chuck O'NeilNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris MixanChuck O'Neil
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (35%)
1 (14%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Mixan70%
Chuck O'Neil 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 70% favorite over Chuck O'Neil in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck O'Neil's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Chuck O'Neil 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.