Chris Mixan vs Jonathan Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamTeam Awesome
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MixanJonathan Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan66%
Jonathan Rivera 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 66% favorite over Jonathan Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Rivera 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.