Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Morris vs Curtis Millender

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
-Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MorrisNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Curtis MillenderNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris MorrisCurtis Millender
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Morris62%
Curtis Millender 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Morris a 62% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1596), separated by just 2 points.

Chris Morris enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Morris finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.