Chris Morris vs Derrick Noble
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record27-15-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
North West Fight AcademyTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MorrisDerrick Noble
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Morris79%
Derrick Noble 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Morris a 79% favorite over Derrick Noble in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derrick Noble's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Morris enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chris Morris finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Noble 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.