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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Morris vs Edgar Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
North West Fight AcademyTeamArizona Athletic Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MorrisNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Edgar GarciaNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
57%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Chris MorrisEdgar Garcia
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (33%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Garcia52%
Chris Morris 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Garcia a 52% favorite over Chris Morris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Morris's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Morris enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Morris finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Garcia 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.