Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Morris vs Ryan Stonitsch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
North West Fight AcademyTeamRockford Kickboxing & Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MorrisNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Ryan StonitschNow 1599
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris MorrisRyan Stonitsch
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (13%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Morris76%
Ryan Stonitsch 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Morris a 76% favorite over Ryan Stonitsch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Stonitsch's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Morris enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Chris Morris finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Stonitsch 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.