Chris Padilla vs Magomed Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-1Record22-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight137 lbs
California Mixed Martial ArtsTeamDagFighter
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaMagomed Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla59%
Magomed Magomedov 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 59% favorite over Magomed Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1703), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Padilla enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.
Chris Padilla carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.