Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Price vs Ed Herman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Price

Chris Price

“Crazy”

4-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1592Solid
Ed Herman
us

Ed Herman

“Short Fuse”

26-16-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record26-16-0
FeatherweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight205 lbs
Blackburn PredatorsTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

Ed Herman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris PriceNow 1592
If they win+18→ 1610
If they lose-14→ 1578
Ed HermanNow 1642
If they win+10→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
67%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
49%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
33%
Takedown defense
59%
2.16
Submission avg.
1.04

Trajectory

Chris PriceEd Herman
155016001650202120222023

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (27%)
3 (75%)
Submission
14 (54%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Price67%
Ed Herman 33%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Price a 67% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ed Herman's way (43%).

Ed Herman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1592, a 50-point edge.

Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Price finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ed Herman 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.