Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Sanford vs Felipe Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris SanfordNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Felipe RosaNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
18%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
3.45
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chris SanfordFelipe Rosa
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
4 (80%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Rosa59%
Chris Sanford 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Rosa a 59% favorite over Chris Sanford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.

Chris Sanford finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Rosa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.