Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Saunders vs Cristiano Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
All In MMATeamPortugal Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris SaundersNow 1468
If they win+24→ 1492
If they lose-24→ 1444
Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris SaundersCristiano Oliveira
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
7 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira60%
Chris Saunders 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 60% favorite over Chris Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1468 vs 1474), separated by just 6 points.

Chris Saunders finishes 63% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.