Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Spang vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Spang
us

Chris Spang

“The Kiss”

6-3-0WelterweightSFN

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris SpangNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
9%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
60%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
50%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Chris SpangDavid Zawada
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (25%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada60%
Chris Spang 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 60% favorite over Chris Spang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1560), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Spang finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.