Chris Spang vs Nah-Shon Burrell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record19-12-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Nah-Shon Burrell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Spang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1584
If they lose-21→ 1536
If they win+11→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris SpangNah-Shon Burrell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nah-Shon Burrell66%
Chris Spang 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Nah-Shon Burrell a 66% favorite over Chris Spang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Nah-Shon Burrell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1557, a 41-point edge.
Chris Spang finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nah-Shon Burrell 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.