Chris Tuchscherer vs Gabriel Gonzaga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-4-0Record17-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach42,0"
260 lbsWeight264 lbs
Academy of Combat ArtsTeamTeam Link
What's at stake
Chris Tuchscherer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Gonzaga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris TuchschererGabriel Gonzaga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Gonzaga53%
Chris Tuchscherer 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Gonzaga a 53% favorite over Chris Tuchscherer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Tuchscherer's way (44%).
Chris Tuchscherer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1612, a 39-point edge.
Chris Tuchscherer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Tuchscherer finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Gonzaga 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.