Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Tuchscherer vs Tim Hague

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Hague
ca

Tim Hague

“The Thrashing Machine”

21-13-0HeavyweightACB

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record21-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
260 lbsWeight264 lbs
Academy of Combat ArtsTeamUFC Gym Edmonton

What's at stake

Chris Tuchscherer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tim Hague carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris TuchschererNow 1651
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633
Tim HagueNow 1609
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-11→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
32%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
47%
Strike defense
46%
1.19
Takedown avg.
1.72
18%
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
86%
0.59
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Chris TuchschererTim Hague
160016501700175020092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
4 (19%)
Submission
4 (19%)
5 (24%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Tuchscherer and Tim Hague within a point of even.

Chris Tuchscherer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1609, a 42-point edge.

Chris Tuchscherer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Tuchscherer finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Tim Hague 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.