Chris Weidman vs Gadzhi Rabadanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record28-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'8"
78"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight156 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Weidman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1693
If they win+9→ 1794
If they lose-15→ 1770
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WeidmanGadzhi Rabadanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov92%
Chris Weidman 8%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 92% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1705, a 80-point edge.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.
Chris Weidman carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.