Chris Weidman vs Mark Munoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record14-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Chris Weidman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mark Munoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
If they win+19→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WeidmanMark Munoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Weidman70%
Mark Munoz 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Weidman a 70% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Chris Weidman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1639, a 66-point edge.
Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.
Chris Weidman and Mark Munoz share 1 common opponent: Gegard Mousasi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.