Chris Weidman vs Tommy Morrisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record12-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionBantamweight
6'2"Height5'7"
78"Reach67.1"
185 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WeidmanTommy Morrisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy Morrisson71%
Chris Weidman 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Morrisson a 71% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Weidman's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1696), separated by just 9 points.
Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.
Chris Weidman carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.