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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Weidman vs Tommy Morrisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Weidman
us

Chris Weidman

“The All-American”

16-8-0MiddleweightBOXING

1705Good

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record12-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionBantamweight
6'2"Height5'7"
78"Reach67.1"
185 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris WeidmanNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Tommy MorrissonNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
3.27
Takedown avg.
Not available
42%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.82
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chris WeidmanTommy Morrisson
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (38%)
Decision
9 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Weidman58%
Tommy Morrisson 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Weidman a 58% favorite over Tommy Morrisson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1696), separated by just 9 points.

Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.

Chris Weidman carries a 11-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.