Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Weidman vs Vitor Belfort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Weidman
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Chris Weidman

“The All-American”

16-8-0MiddleweightBOXING

1705Good

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris WeidmanNow 1705
If they win+17→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1690
Vitor BelfortNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
51%
Strike defense
51%
3.27
Takedown avg.
1.02
42%
Takedown accuracy
60%
72%
Takedown defense
54%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Chris WeidmanVitor Belfort
17001750201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
18 (69%)
4 (25%)
Submission
3 (12%)
6 (38%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Weidman54%
Vitor Belfort 46%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Weidman a 54% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vitor Belfort's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1719), separated by just 14 points.

Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.

Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort share 2 common opponents: Ronaldo Souza and Gegard Mousasi.

Chris Weidman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Gegard Mousasi
LossKO/TKO · 2016
LossKO/TKO · 2018
Ronaldo Souza
LossKO/TKO · 2016