Chris Weidman vs Yoel Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
78"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yoel Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Weidman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1690
If they win+15→ 1746
If they lose-17→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WeidmanYoel Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoel Romero57%
Chris Weidman 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoel Romero a 57% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Yoel Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1705, a 26-point edge.
Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yoel Romero 81%.
Chris Weidman carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.