Chris Wilson vs Gary Balletto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamTri-Force MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonGary Balletto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gary Balletto56%
Chris Wilson 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 56% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Wilson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gary Balletto enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.