Chris Wilson vs John Howard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record29-19-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'7"
TBDReach40,0"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamWai Kru MMA
What's at stake
Chris Wilson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-17→ 1616
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-11→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonJohn Howard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Wilson58%
John Howard 42%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Wilson a 58% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Chris Wilson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1608, a 25-point edge.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.