Chris Wilson vs Jon Fitch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record32-8-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chris Wilson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1622
If they win+8→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonJon Fitch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Fitch75%
Chris Wilson 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Fitch a 75% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1633, a 108-point edge.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jon Fitch 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.