Chris Wilson vs Jose Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamNova Uniao MPBJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonJose Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Wilson52%
Jose Souza 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Wilson a 52% favorite over Jose Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jose Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jose Souza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.