Chris Wilson vs Khamzat Abaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamTeam Terranova ASBL
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonKhamzat Abaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Abaev59%
Chris Wilson 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 59% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Wilson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.